Avoiding Low Probability Trades

I took another stab at avoiding low probability trades today by keeping busy during the day (w/ non-trading related activites), especially after volatility fell in the afternoon.  Although I managed to only make a few trades today, once again, I ended up giving up my profits from the early morning once volatility tightened and trends became less clear.  Tomorrow will be a much busier session, given all the pending data releases.  Very interesting will be to see how the EUR/USD performs considering its MACD on the daily continues to exhibit a  bottoming pattern.  Other pairs that benefit from increased risk appetite (e.g. AUD/JPY and EUR/JPY) have already pulled back from their multi-day rally, and any further downside in the next day or 2 would suggest that the EUR/USD bypass any short covering rally and resume its downtrend.